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Stocks Fall In Worst Day Since March š¤
PLUS: Microsoft Eyes Nuclear-Powered AI
Frankās GM
Tuesday was the worst day for markets since Marchās banking crisis, with the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P all falling by between 1.1% and 1.6%. The drop represents strong continuation and further acceleration of last weekās weakness across the major stock indexes.
On Wednesday of last week, the Fed was defiant and resolute in its commitment to āhigher for longerā interest rates. This posturing has started to enrage equity markets, which have begun to remind the Fed that the tail doesnāt wag the dog - and that the Fed is ultimately at the mercy of the market, and not the other way around.
Weāll see how long the selling persists, but Iām not expecting an immediate turnaround.
One final note: Iām getting married on Saturday, so there will be no newsletter on Friday or this upcoming Monday. Itās the first break weāve taken since March!
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Market News
Microsoft Goes Nuclear for AI Domination
Microsoft aims to power its AI and cloud data centers with small modular nuclear reactors. This would provide the massive computing power needed for AI while pursuing carbon-free nuclear energy. Microsoft posted a job to lead the strategy for integrating small reactors, building on its investments in AI and nuclear fusion startups. The tech giant sees small nuclear as fitting with its sustainability goals, but many challenges remain. Uranium, anyone?
Cost and Time Savings: Small modular reactors under 300 megawatts can be built in factories and shipped to plant sites, slashing construction time from over 5 years to 2-3 years. Capital costs are estimated to be $3-4 billion rather than over $10 billion.
Carbon Reduction: Nuclear power generates 53% of America's carbon-free electricity. Microsoft sees small nuclear fitting with its goal of being carbon negative by 2030.
Energy Resiliency: Small nuclear reactors can provide steady, always-on baseload power perfect for data centers. This limits reliance on variable wind and solar energy alone.
Macro News
S&P and Nasdaq Scars Deepen
Stocks fell sharply yesterday with 10-year Treasury yields holding at multi-year highs, sparking concerns about prolonged high interest rates. However, dip buyers emerged Wednesday with yields retreating slightly, lifting megacap growth stocks in premarket trading. Though volatility persists with hawkish Fed projections, analysts hope the longer-term momentum remains positive.
Government Shutdown Concerns: The Senate took steps Tuesday towards a bipartisan bill to avoid a shutdown, while the House pushed a Republican measure. Partisan gridlock has begun negatively impacting Wall Street's view of U.S. credit.
Monthly Data Ahead: Investors await Q2 GDP figures this week along with the PCE price index and remarks from Fed Chair Powell to gauge policy direction. August durable goods orders rose unexpectedly, signaling business spending resilience early in Q3.
Losses Mount: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes are on track for their worst monthly losses this year, while all 3 major indexes eye their first quarterly declines in 2023 amid rate hike concerns.
Todayās Reader Poll
For those of us wanting to travel next week (given itās āFall breakā time of the school year for some), this govāt shutdown may have repercussions even through the FAA. While we usually donāt support blank checks on spending, travel disruptions affect everyday Americans and point to more headaches down the road.
So we ask once more, given this evolving maelstromā¦
Will Congress agree to a deal, or will the federal government go into shutdown on October 1st? |
Here are the results from Mondayās poll. Looks like we had more faith than those on Capitol Hill.
AI Art of The Day
The BRRR is getting married on Saturday š
ā Frank Locascio (@frank_locascio)
1:19 PM ā¢ Sep 27, 2023
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We added Flutter Entertainment (PDYPY) to the Watchlist previously. We think it still has potential, but will continue to monitor its performance amidst broader market performance.
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