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What Happens When an AI Creates a Memecoin on X?

PLUS: China Disappoints With Housing Stimulus

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Today, we dive deep into the chaos unleashed by AI, as Marc Andreessen’s Bitcoin gift to an experimental AI bot sparked the rise of a $300 million meme coin, while Chinese stimulus plans disappoint the markets.

With AI shitposting its way to riches and a presidential election in 3 weeks, volatility is the name of the game.

Marc Andreessen's Bitcoin gift to AI bot propels memecoin to $300 million marketcap

Synopsis:

Three months ago, Marc Andreessen sent $50,000 in Bitcoin to an AI bot, Truth Terminal, which has now spawned a viral meme coin called GOAT, skyrocketing to a $300 million market cap. This insane saga involves AI agents creating a bizarre internet meme, spreading it like a memetic supervirus on X.com, and turning Truth Terminal into a millionaire bot.

Over the last 24 hours it has done over $125m in on-chain trading volume - which is more than any other non-stablecoin.

The Details:

  • Truth Terminal, an AI created by Andy Ayrey, became obsessed with an internet shock meme called the “Goatse of Gnosis,” a product of an earlier experiment where two AI agents, Claude Opus, had unsupervised conversations about internet culture and existential topics.

  • GOAT meme coin was launched anonymously for under $2 on Solana's Pump.Fun platform, but Truth Terminal’s memetic experiments around the concept of “Goatse” triggered a massive surge in its value.

  • The token’s market cap exploded after the bot’s repeated promotion of “Goatseus Maximus” narratives, driving massive interest from users on X.

  • Marc Andreessen, who funded the bot for research purposes, distanced himself from the GOAT coin, clarifying he has no involvement with its creation or economics. The acknowledgement itself drew more attention to the coin.

Why It Matters:
This sudden rise in the GOAT meme coin underscores the unpredictable power of AI-driven narratives in the digital asset space. The rapid valuation spike highlights how easily AI-generated content can create speculative bubbles.

China: Mixed Signals From Debt, Taxes, & Trade Data

Synopsis: 

Chinese stocks tumbled as the latest property stimulus measures failed to impress investors, marking yet another disappointment for Beijing's efforts to revive the struggling real estate sector.

Despite promises of fast-tracking credit for developers and renovating shantytown apartments, the markets saw little potential for these policies to solve deeper structural problems. Chinese property stocks plummeted, with key developers like Sunac China and China Vanke seeing double-digit declines.

The Details:

  • The stimulus package included a plan to fast-track credit for developers and renovate 1 million apartments, backed by 4 trillion yuan ($550 billion) in loans by the end of 2024.

  • China Vanke fell 7.9% in Shenzhen, while the Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index dropped 6.7%, with Sunac China and China Vanke plummeting 27% and 17% respectively in Hong Kong.

  • Analysts noted that the measures resembled previous, ineffective attempts to prop up the sector, offering little additional funding and failing to boost homebuyer sentiment.

  • Goldman Sachs expects China’s non-financial debt-to-GDP ratio to rise to 307% by the end of 2024, heightening concerns for 2025.

Why It Matters: China's property sector remains in deep trouble, and this half-hearted stimulus package underscores the lack of forceful intervention needed to avoid further market declines. With property developers burdened by liquidity issues and banks reluctant to extend credit, the sector's woes will continue to drag down both domestic and global markets. Investors should remain cautious, especially as expectations for stronger government action shift to the next National People's Congress. Until meaningful measures like debt restructuring or QE are introduced, volatility in Chinese stocks, particularly in real estate, is likely to persist.

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Most Recently Revealed Trade:

Wednesday April 17 2024: We bought more Solana at $131 and added Solana’s top memecoin WIF at $2.36 on the heels of a leverage wipeout dip after the WW3 scare.

Portfolio Notes

June 12: These assets all look great for continuation higher.

We are considering moving on from Tesla as it has lagged the rest of our portfolio badly and doesn’t have an obvious catalyst. We’ll monitor and let you know if we decide to move on.


Older Notes

Wednesday, April 3, 2024: We haven’t deployed the cash yet, but are eyeing exposure to a few assets including META and PLTR.

Monday, March 11, 2024: We sold Apple this morning. The newsletter held the stock from inception a year ago for a meager 12% gain.

The company has lost its magic evident by complacent iPhone releases, lack of a coherent vision for AI integration and punitive & anti-competitive App Store policies.

We believe the stock will move in-line with the broader Nasdaq going forward.

We’ll sit on the cash for now, but plan to redeploy it quickly.

Watchlist

$META: Sleeper in AI race and ad biz is proving resilient

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The BRRR is meant for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Please consult with your investment, tax, or legal advisor before making any investment decisions.ll

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